Copenhagen #3: aftermath…

Monday, December 21st, 2009

the little mermaid

the little mermaid

Well, predictably, the Copenhagen conference was a washout. I am not, however, ready to follow George Monbiot in declaring it a disaster. The way I see it is that Copenhagen is the first time we have got together as a species to tackle a common problem. That this happened at all is a clear admission that global warming is a threat that we all now recognize. That in itself is amazing progress. Further, there were signs that this was not business as usual: the ‘developed’ powers handing down to everyone else the way things are going to be – something that they’ve been doing for at least 200 years now. There was a moment when Africa spoke as one and told the rich they weren’t having it… Now this may have been because they were after the $100 billion that the developed have promised the undeveloped to help them cope with global warming. I can’t see the point of being so cynical. The important thing in this, it seems to me, is that people who are normally divided, acted together. Then there is the blame being heaped by the developed on China. Though China has recently become the biggest CO2 polluter, it has only just overtaken the US – who has been pumping out CO2 for at least a century – and China’s CO2 emissions are still, per capita, vastly less than the US’… I have some sympathy for China’s position that since we (the West) have produced by far the greatest portion of the man-released CO2 in the atmosphere, that we should take responsibility for this… It’s typical of Western politicians to attempt to shift blame elsewhere…

So where where does that leave us? We have the whole world getting together for the first time admitting that we ALL have a problem. We have the rich, developed countries trying to force on everyone else a solution that leaves them, as usual, benefitting at the cost of everyone else. We can all see that this wasn’t acceptable to the developing nations – nor should it be. We have thus admitted there is massive problem and that business as usual isn’t going to solve it. Of course, time is running out, but it seems to me that – given the circumstances – Copenhagen was not at all a disaster…

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folding plug – saviour of the universe…

Thursday, December 10th, 2009

Min-Kyu Choi's folding plug (from iconeye)

Min-Kyu Choi's folding plug (from iconeye)

My brother pointed this out to me yesterday and it got me rather excited. Now first of all, for all of you outside the UK, this may be hard to understand. You may even think I’ve lost it. “Plugs? He thinks plugs are going to save the world?” But bear with me…

The reason this excited me – apart from the sheer elegance of Min-Kyu Choi’s design – was because it took me completely by surprise. Living most of my life in the UK, I have, with 60 million others (and a bit of googling reveals this- from which I learn that this kind of plug is also used in Ireland, Sri Lanka, Bahrain, UAE, Qatar, Yemen, Oman, Cyprus, Malta, Gibraltar, Botswana, Ghana, Hong Kong, Macau, Brunei, Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia, Bangladesh, Kenya, Uganda, Malawi, Nigeria, Mauritius, Iraq, Kuwait, Tanzania, Zambia and Zimbabwe), been wrestling with our clunky plugs. They’re ok individually, but whenever you try and put them into an ‘adapter block’, you can end up with a rickety and dangerous cluster and sometimes, you just can’t force them together at all! But, like everyone else who has had to use these things, I have just assumed that they were as invariable a part of the world as the clouds in the sky.

Warning: I am about to make a logical leap that might not be to everbody’s taste… So, what this linked to immediately in my mind was global warming. While I hope things work out well in Copenhagen, it is quite possible they will not. So the world will heat up heading for what, I have no doubt, will be much disaster for our (and may other) species. If this comes to pass… our only hope then will be technological fixes. And this is where Mr Choi’s humble plug is for me a sign of hope. For humans are not good at imagining that the world they have known all their lives could suddenly change tomorrow. This myopia is one of the main failings that has got us into this trouble. However, the flip side of this is that we also can’t see what innovation might appear tomorrow. And, for all our failings, we ARE very inventive and there seems to me some hope in that…

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Copenhagen #2…

Monday, December 7th, 2009
Thorpe Marsh cooling towers (from Wikipedia)

Thorpe Marsh cooling towers (from Wikipedia)

Here is a link to an excellent article in the Guardian that sets the stage for the drama that Copenhagen might turn out to be…

I’m sure you’re as concerned as I am about the threat to our planet from global warming. I can’t say that I have great hopes for the meeting that is opening today at Copenhagen to come up with any definitive progress. However, I have become heartened by the way this issue has so quickly moved up everyone’s agenda – considering that a few years ago I was hassling people about it and, then, few seemed to have even heard about it. Unfortunately, the various points of no-return are rushing towards us even faster. For all our technological successes, it seems to me that we remain primitive on the level of social organisation. We don’t seem to be able to rise above the programming of our instincts. We don’t seem to be well designed to cope with this kind of ‘nebulous’ threat in the ‘future somewhere’… Now if this were a good old-fashioned war against ourselves, I have no doubt that we would manage miracles of speed and adaptability… the VAST amount that it seemed reasonable to spend on the ‘War on Terror’ comes to mind…

All this said, I feel that there is some hope in us all getting together at Copenhagen to tackle this common problem. Though, however pressing the deadlines from the global warming threat, we can only do what is ‘politically possible’… sad, but there it is. Let’s hope that the drama at Copenhagen neither turns out to be a farce, nor a tragedy…

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Copenhagen…

Thursday, December 3rd, 2009
carbon budget for 2°C © New Scientist (from November 7 issue)

carbon budget for 2°C © New Scientist (from November 7 issue)

Here’s another of those wonderful graphics (discussed in a previous post). It instantly makes many things clear. Not least how responsible we are in the West – the US and Europe in particular – for the predicament we find ourselves in. Also how little China and India and Brazil, the new ‘bad boys’, are responsible… And most crucially, how little time there is… Then, when you combine it with this other graphic… noting especially the red box near the centre (not to mention other hilarious boxes, such as the grey one labelled “bribes received by Russian officials”)… then is there any need for me to say anything else?

world budget in billions of dollars © David McCandless

world budget in billions of dollars © David McCandless

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